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BTC short-term trading strategy: Rely on resistance to layout short orders, choose the right time to buy low at support level.
1. Trend Judgment
The current downtrend of BTC has not ended, with the core downward target focusing on the key support range of 102000-98000. A short-term rebound is seen as a corrective movement within the trend. Overall operations should follow the main downtrend, prioritizing short order opportunities.
2. Key Price Levels Sorting
(1) resistance level
Short-term rebound key pressure range: 108500-110000, this range is the core resistance zone for the rebound in the trend and is an optimal time to layout short orders.
(2) support level
1. Intraday primary support: 105000-103000 (short-term strong and weak watershed, a pullback can be lightly tested for long);
2. Intraday secondary support: 102200 (key support level, strong support strength);
3. Trend target support: 102000-98000 (the core target range for this round of decline, which requires close attention).
3. Operational Suggestions
(1) short order strategy
1. Timing: Patiently wait for the price to rebound to the range of 108500-110000. If there are signs of resistance (such as a high followed by a drop, or a decrease in volume), you can gradually place short orders.
2. Target: The first target is looking at 105000-103000, the second target is looking at 102200, and the ultimate target is anchored at 102000-98000;
3. Risk Control: The stop loss can be set above 110000 (e.g., 110500) to avoid being passive due to breaking through key resistance.
(2) Long Order Strategy (Short-term Bounce, Cautious Participation)
1. Timing: Only participate when the price retests key support levels, with a priority focus on stability signals in the 105000-103000 range, followed by the strength of support around 102200.
2. Target: Short-term target of 500-800 points (if 103000 support stabilizes, the target looks at 103500-104000), do not cling to the battle, quick in and out;
3. Risk control: Set the stop loss below the support level (e.g., support at 103000, stop loss at 102800; support at 102200, stop loss at 102000) to prevent deep entrapment after a breakdown.
4. Risk Warning
1. The current trend is bearish, and long positions are only short-term rebound opportunities. Strict position control is required (it is recommended not to exceed 20% of total capital) to avoid heavy positions against the trend;
2. Pay attention to market news; if sudden positive news leads to a breakthrough of the 110000 key resistance, it is necessary to promptly cut losses on short orders and not blindly hold positions.
3. Support levels and resistance levels are for reference only. Actual operations should dynamically adjust based on candlestick patterns, trading volume, and other technical indicators, and should not be mechanically applied.