Interest rate cut is in place! How will altcoins perform in the future? A comprehensive analysis of the market cycle.

The Federal Reserve has officially dropped interest rates, and while the altcoin market appears calm on the surface, there is actually a hidden battle for funds. Let me highlight a key point: the current market volatility risk is at its peak, and there is only one core principle—stay away from high-leverage contracts. Surviving in a bull market is more important than making quick money. Looking back at the market performance after previous interest rate cuts, the trend never happens "all at once"; instead, it progresses along the rhythm of "washout → accumulation → explosion," and this time is likely to follow the same pattern.

Short term: 10-day consolidation period, don't be misled by "repeated fluctuations".

In the next 10 days, alts are likely to fall into a "volatile pattern of ups and downs": they may collectively drop 5% in a single day, forcing retail investors to cut losses and exit; or they may suddenly surge 5%, enticing people to chase the highs. This seemingly chaotic fluctuation is essentially the main force's washout operation — the goal is to clear out impatient and weak hands who can't withstand the volatility, while quietly accumulating low-priced chips. The more turmoil there is, the more it indicates that the main force is building momentum for the subsequent market, and only by enduring the volatile period can one seize the real opportunities.

Mid-term: October marks a key turning point, welcoming the main upward wave at the end of the month.

Entering October, alts will enter two key stages:

1. Early October: It is highly likely to show a "slow decline and accumulation" trend, which is by no means a crash, but rather large funds taking advantage of the pullback to acquire retail investors' coins. Once the concentration of coins reaches the target level, the market will officially start.
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2. Starting from mid-October: the market will gradually stabilize and recover, with moderate increases expected, but positive signals will continue to be released; after October 25, alts will officially enter the "main rising wave." Coinciding with the expectations of interest rate cuts next month, favorable liquidity + rising market sentiment will accelerate the influx of funds into the coin circle, and high-quality alts are expected to welcome a tenfold, or even twentyfold, explosive growth.

3 practical tips, follow them directly to avoid pitfalls.

- Stay away from high-leverage contracts: Contracts during volatile periods are "capital harvesting machines". Even if you predict the general direction correctly, you may still face liquidation due to short-term price spikes. Protecting your principal is the key.
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- Focus on the top 50 market cap quality alts, steadily building positions: these types of coins have ecosystems and consensus, and short-term pullbacks do not change their long-term value; avoid "Pixiu coin", as coins with no actual value support rise quickly but fall even faster, and are prone to going to zero;
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- Accumulate during pullbacks, hold long-term: This is currently a window period for collecting chips at low prices. Don't be fixated on "buying low and selling high" for profit; the simple method of "holding quality chips" in a bull market is often the most effective. If you have a base position, avoid frequently switching assets to prevent missing out on potential double-up coins.

Final reminder: Before the outbreak of the altcoin season, there will inevitably be multiple intense shakeouts, and even a spike of more than 10%. This is not a risk, but a "normal test" of a bull market. To withstand the volatility and not be influenced by short-term emotions is the way to secure doubled returns.