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The Secret Behind the Saying 'Buying Means Decrease, Selling Means Rise' That Few Dare to Admit
In the middle of the night, the phone keeps ringing — a familiar story in the crypto market: “Every time I buy SOL it falls, and when I sell, the price goes up. Surely the sharks are following my small account!” This feeling is not unfamiliar to most retail investors. When market prices continuously move against their trades, many believe that “they are being followed” or “the exchange is playing them.” But in reality, the cause does not lie with any “big player” — it lies in the cognitive traps that lead traders to put themselves in a losing position. 1 Confirmation Bias (Confirmation Bias ) Investors often only remember the times when after buying, the price falls, or after selling, the price rises, while forgetting the opposite times. We only remember data that reinforces the belief that “the market is against us,” instead of looking at the entire transaction chain. The result is that it reinforces negative emotions, leading to hasty actions. 2 Hiệu Ứng Neo (Anchoring Effect) Many people consider their own purchase price as the “important price point” of the market. When the price falls below that level, they believe that “the sharks are forcing them to cut losses.” In fact, the market does not care about small positions of a few thousand dollars; large capital flows move according to supply and demand and liquidity zones, not according to the emotions of individuals. 3 Survivorship Bias ( Seeing others accurately “catch the peak - the bottom” on social media makes many people think that there is some sort of “secret technique.” But most of the people who post successful pictures are survivors, while thousands of losers remain silent. When we only see the surface of the iceberg, we are easily led to the illusion that “others are favored more than ourselves.” 4 Ways to Escape the Illusion of Being “Followed” Instead of making emotional inferences, learn to read actual data: Follow large transactions ) whale transfers ( through tools like Tokenview or Arkham, to understand whether the actual flow of money is moving or not. Observe the top 10 holding wallets of the project: if there is no panic selling, then the price fall is just a natural adjustment phase. Use the 4-hour frame to evaluate the trend: when the price stabilizes sideways after a sharp drop, only then consider buying back — instead of reacting emotionally. 5 Lessons Learned No “dealer” is free to follow a few orders of a few hundred dollars from small investors. The market simply reflects crowd psychology, and those who are easily swayed by emotions always feel like they are the “victims”. On the contrary, those who understand data, discipline, and wait for the right moment — are the ones who control the game. Conclusion The feeling of being “targeted by the market” is a product of psychology, not a conspiracy. Only by abandoning emotions and viewing the market through data and logic can investors truly escape the familiar cycle of “buy is a fall, sell is an increase.”