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Meme coin: A new financial phenomenon behind speculative frenzy
Meme Coin: A Deep Analysis of a New Financial Phenomenon
Meme coin is undoubtedly one of the most eye-catching and confusing phenomena in the cryptocurrency field. From a massive market cap token spawned from a Japanese Shiba Inu meme to Dogecoin, which is praised by a well-known entrepreneur, these digital assets that originated from jokes and flourished within communities continuously challenge the traditional financial sector's understanding with their extreme price volatility and huge wealth effects.
Are these tokens merely worthless digital bubbles, or do they represent a completely new asset class? By contrasting them with traditional finance, we can conduct an in-depth role analysis. We will find that Meme coins are not a singular role but rather a fusion and amplification of multiple marginalized or suppressed roles in the traditional financial world. They embody the ultimate expression of speculative desire, symbolize the financialization of community culture, and may serve as a “mirror” to examine the essence of modern finance.
1. Market Level: “High-Risk Lottery” and “Junk Stocks”
From a traditional financial perspective, Meme coins are far removed from the “value investment” tools that ordinary investors are familiar with (such as blue-chip stocks and government bonds); they are more akin to lottery tickets and casino chips.
High-risk lottery or “casino chips”. The core of traditional lotteries lies in the fact that buyers incur a certain small loss (the purchase amount) in exchange for an extremely low probability but high return possibility. Meme coins fully conform to this logic. Most buyers do not base their decisions on an analysis of the underlying technology, application scenarios, or cash flow—because these simply do not exist in the vast majority of meme coins. Their investment decisions stem from a simple belief: that the next person will buy at a higher price. This is a perfect interpretation of the famous “greater fool theory” in the history of finance in the digital age.
Unlike traditional lotteries, the “draw” of Meme coin is not a fixed point in time, but a continuous process. This process may be triggered by a hot topic on social media, a celebrity's recommendation, or a sudden community event. Its price trend no longer reflects the fundamentals of the business, but becomes a real-time record of collective emotions. Situations of soaring several times in an instant and sharp declines alternate, forming the daily scene of this large-scale online speculation.
Highly speculative “junk stocks”. Some may compare Meme coins to “junk stocks” in traditional financial markets. Indeed, they both share the characteristics of “high risk, high potential return.” However, the risk dimension of Meme coins is more complex and extreme. “Junk stocks” at least have a legal entity behind them, possessing assets and operations (no matter how weak), and are subject to securities regulatory authorities. While price manipulation exists, it still operates within a certain legal framework.
Meme coins, most of which are created on decentralized networks, have no actual controllers, no business revenue, and their smart contracts may have vulnerabilities, with founding teams possibly remaining anonymous. Even more seriously, a “rug pull” event may occur, where developers suddenly withdraw funds from the liquidity pool, causing the token's value to plummet to zero in an instant. The accumulation of such systemic risks makes the risk level of Meme coins far exceed any similar assets in traditional finance, pushing speculation to unprecedented heights.
2. Cultural Aspects: “Alternative Stocks” and “Social Currency”
If Meme coins are merely a gamble, they might not possess such strong vitality. Their deeper charm lies in the fact that they have successfully transformed financial instruments into cultural symbols and social tickets. In this regard, they share similarities with the stock event of a certain game retailer in 2021, amplifying their cultural attributes.
The Socialization of Financial Behavior and Identity Recognition. The core of that famous stock incident was retail investors on a social platform collectively buying stocks that were heavily shorted by institutions, successfully “targeting” Wall Street hedge funds. In this process, the stock was no longer just a simple certificate of equity investment; it became a “banner”, a kind of “faith”, a “weapon” for grassroots retail investors to fight against the financial elite system. Holding this stock became a declaration of identity: “I am a member of this community, and I stand on the opposite side of Wall Street.”
Meme coin has pushed this community financial behavior to a new height. Holding a certain well-known Meme coin means you agree with its satirical slogan of “people's currency”, understand its origin from the 2013 parody of Bitcoin's altcoin “meme”, and join a global, humor-filled community movement. Another well-known Meme coin has built a massive “legion”, enhancing the sense of belonging and mission for holders through complex ecosystem narratives and burning deflationary mechanisms. Here, investment is no longer cold data analysis, but a warm identity recognition and community co-construction.
"The accumulation and monetization of 'social capital'. In the era of social media, attention is the most scarce resource. The essence of Meme coins is the financialization of collective attention. A successful Meme coin is a cultural gene that can self-replicate and spread virally. The early discovery and dissemination of a particular Meme coin not only may bring financial returns but also can accumulate considerable 'social capital' within the community — you are seen as a visionary 'prophet' or an interesting 'meme king'.
attention attracts capital inflow
3. Behavioral Aspect: “Emotional Value” and “Speculative Bubble”
Throughout financial history, Meme coins are not an unprecedented phenomenon; they are merely the latest form of speculative bubbles that have recurred throughout human history in the digital age. By comparing them with famous bubble events in history, we can clearly see the astonishing similarities.
Narrative-driven value. At the core of all speculative bubbles is the “narrative” replacing the “fundamentals” as the core of pricing. In 17th century Holland, the value of tulips detached from their ornamental qualities as flowers, driven by the narrative of “rarity, uniqueness, and status symbol,” where a special variety of bulb could be exchanged for a mansion. In the early 21st century internet bubble, a company's value was no longer dependent on its profitability and cash flow, but rather based on the grand narratives of “clicks,” “user growth,” and “new economic models.”
Today's Meme coin is entirely based on the narrative of “community power”, “cultural symbols”, and “rebellious spirit”. A statement from a well-known entrepreneur on social media has an influence that far exceeds any financial report. This reveals an age-old underlying human nature in the financial market: people will always be drawn to a captivating story and the dream of quick wealth.
The fear of missing out. In every bubble, “fear of missing out” is the core fuel driving irrational price increases. When seeing those around you become overnight millionaires by purchasing a certain Meme coin, rational thinking is often replaced by a strong sense of anxiety. This emotion is infinitely amplified in the cryptocurrency market, where trading occurs around the clock globally and information spreads at the speed of light.
At the same time, every era finds a rationalization for its bubble that says “this time is different.” During the Tulip Mania, people believed that the demand for beauty was limitless; during the Internet bubble, people believed that traditional valuation models had completely failed; and in the wave of Meme coins, believers shout “community is value” and “decentralization changes everything.” However, history has repeatedly shown that when the music stops, the narrative goes bankrupt, and the law of gravity will eventually take effect, prices will revert to their intrinsic value — for the vast majority of Meme coins, this value is infinitely close to zero.
4. Beyond the Boundaries of Traditional Finance
Although we have found many analogies, Meme coins are not a simple copy of traditional roles. They deconstruct and transcend traditional financial models through blockchain technology, showcasing their unique characteristics.
Low barriers and no entry restrictions for issuance. In the traditional world, issuing stocks or bonds requires complicated legal procedures, investment bank underwriting, and regulatory approval, with very high thresholds. In the cryptocurrency world, anyone can create and issue their own Meme coin in just a few minutes with minimal cost and some technical knowledge. The extremely low barrier to issuance has led to a market explosion in a nearly “wild growth” manner, while also resulting in a mix of quality in projects and rampant fraud.
Globalization and Instantaneity of Liquidity. A small-cap stock in a certain country's over-the-counter market may have very poor liquidity, making it difficult for ordinary investors to buy and sell. In contrast, a top-tier Meme coin can achieve around-the-clock global instant trading after being listed on global decentralized or centralized exchanges. This kind of Depth, uninterrupted liquidity provides a breeding ground for ultra-high intensity speculative behavior, which is hard to match by any traditional speculative tools.
The vacuum of regulation and the ambiguity of morality. Traditional financial activities are within a strict regulatory moat designed to protect investors and maintain market stability. In contrast, the world of cryptocurrency, especially in the Meme coin domain, remains largely a “lawless land.” The lack of regulation, on one hand, grants significant freedom and space for innovation; on the other hand, it allows for market manipulation, insider trading, fraud, and other behaviors to go almost unpunished, pushing the principle of “buyer beware” to its extreme.
Meme coin may force us to rethink some fundamental questions in extreme ways: What is value? What human emotions and social needs does the financial market carry besides resource allocation? It is like a “mirror” that reflects the speculation, frenzy, and tribal instincts that have always existed within the financial system but are ashamed to be acknowledged, hidden under a rational shell. It turns high-frequency speculation in exchanges into a game that every smartphone user can participate in; it transforms the social networks of elite clubs into a global, interest-based digital community.
Therefore, the most fair evaluation of Meme coin may not simply be to dismiss it as a “scam” or to praise it as a “revolution.” It is more like a complex polyhedron:
For speculators seeking quick riches, it is a digital casino.
For young people seeking a sense of belonging, it is a cultural community.
For finance scholars, it is an excellent behavioral finance laboratory.
For regulators, it is a dangerous zone that urgently needs regulation.
For society as a whole, it is a modern fable about technology, humanity, and greed.
Meme coins may, like most speculative bubbles in history, come to a long silence after the frenzy, with the vast majority of projects ultimately going to zero. But what it reveals—about the power of community, the role of cultural narratives in value creation, and the profound impact of technology on financial inclusion—may permanently change our understanding of “finance.” In the future, where traditional finance and crypto finance continue to collide and blend, this seemingly absurd carnival of Meme coins may just be that jarring yet undeniable unique symphony.