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What will be the bull peak price of Bitcoin in this cycle?
Got it! ✅ You are关注ing the Bitcoin bull top price for this cycle, and I will analyze it in conjunction with the latest institutional views and market dynamics.
Conclusion first: Standard Chartered Bank predicts that the target price for Bitcoin by the end of this year will be $200,000, and it is currently in a correction phase, possibly the last time it dips below the psychological barrier of $100,000.
📌 Recent price trends and institutional perspectives
In the past 16 days, Bitcoin has dropped about 12% from its historical high of $126,000, with a current quote of around $107,900 as of October 23, 2025, having briefly reached $110,000 during the day. Standard Chartered analyst Kendrick believes that this decline is driven by tariffs and panic selling, and if it falls back into the five-digit range, it could be the last time it drops below $100,000.
📊 Bitcoin vs Gold Performance Comparison
| Asset | Performance in 2025 | Key Drivers |
|------------|-------------------------------------|-------------------------------|
| Bitcoin | Has been stagnant around $110,000 since May | ETF and corporate purchases, but facing selling pressure |
| Gold | Increased by 57%, achieving the second best annual performance in history | Central bank significantly increased holdings (annual purchase volume nearly 1000 tons) |
(Supplementary explanation) Gold has outperformed due to strong demand from central banks for gold purchases, while Bitcoin has not yet received support from central bank holdings.
✅ Year-End Outlook and Key Variables
- Time window: Historical data shows that October and November are traditional strong months for Bitcoin, with average increases of 19.8% and 46%, respectively.
- Potential catalysts: The inflation data released this Friday may affect market sentiment. If the flow of funds to "sell gold and buy Bitcoin" increases, it may accelerate the formation of a Bitcoin bottom.
Do you want to learn more about the capital flow switching logic between Bitcoin and gold, or see the specific performance data of historically strong months?📈