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Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Monday, July 28, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀️ Daily attendance for loyal fans 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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In July, the countdown begins, and the cryptocurrency market remains in a tense state due to upcoming uncertainties. The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is scheduled for the 29th to 30th. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 35.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 62.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.6%. U.S. stock index futures opened higher on Monday, with Nasdaq futures up 0.5% and S&P 500 futures up 0.4%. The final game between Trump and Powell, the deadline for tariffs, these uncertain factors affecting the cryptocurrency market's trend have not been eliminated. Pay attention to Yibo to grasp real-time dynamics in a timely manner.
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Bitcoin has been consolidating around the 118,000 level for two weeks and broke through the 119,000 level in the early morning, reaching a high of 119,705 USD. According to the current market, the four-hour chart shows a fluctuating upward trend. Although there has been some pullback from the bears along the way, the intensity is not significant. The price is currently approaching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with bullish momentum continuing to expand. From the one-hour chart, the market has formed a series of consecutive upward candles that broke through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines have formed a golden cross pattern, and the indicator values have returned to the positive range. However, the J value in the KDJ indicator has shown a downward turn in the overbought area, and there is a long upper shadow above the current bullish candlestick, indicating a risk of pullback in the short term. Therefore, on Monday, we will adopt a low buy strategy after the pullback.
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Ethereum has reached a new high of 3873 USD in 2025, currently exhibiting a fluctuating pattern of ascending and retracing as it continues to climb. The bulls have returned, breaking the weak downward trend from yesterday, and the market has indeed reversed again. The 4-hour chart shows strong movement, consistently breaking through the middle and upper Bollinger Bands. Currently, the coin price is retracing just below the upper band for correction. From a long-term perspective, Ethereum has increased nearly 80% since early June, mainly due to significant purchases by whales, a decline in ETH balances on exchanges, record highs in staking, and the favor of institutional investors. The market outlook for Ethereum's future development is optimistic, and our bullish outlook remains unchanged. We are waiting for the coin price to complete its fluctuating consolidation, and we still expect a bullish counterattack and further gains.