Ripple's acquisition of an Australian financial services license has received a muted market response, with XRP price fluctuations remaining small, indicating the impact of geopolitical risks on risk assets. Although optimistic sentiments emphasize Ripple's connection to traditional finance, the overall risk-averse mood makes it difficult for prices to rise in the short term. It is expected that until geopolitical risks are alleviated, XRP will struggle to break through $1.50, with long-term holders holding an advantage at this stage. Ultimately, the core driving factor is the deep integration with traditional finance, and short-term traders are at a disadvantage in the current market.