According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, the US Dollar Index DXY fell by about 2% in August, partially erasing the gains made in July. This marks the first single-month rise in the dollar since President Trump took office. Wall Street expects that as signs of economic slowdown emerge, the Fed may cut interest rates again, and the dollar may continue its decline of over 8% this year. Jayati Baladwa, head of forex strategy at TD Securities, stated that recent actions by the US government will have a long-term impact on the dollar's safe-haven status, and the risk premium may begin to weigh on the dollar.

Jin10 data reported on August 29 that the dollar index DXY fell by about 2% in August, partially erasing the gains of July — which was the first month of dollar appreciation since Trump was inaugurated as President of the United States. Wall Street expects that as the economy shows signs of slowing and the Fed seems ready to cut rates again, the dollar may continue its decline of more than 8% this year. Trump has questioned the credibility of the Fed and the reliability of economic data, further weakening the dollar's appeal. "The recent actions of the U.S. government will have long-term effects," wrote Jayati Balladwaj, head of forex strategy at TD Securities. "This is eroding the dollar's safe-haven status, and risk premiums should begin to put pressure on the dollar." Technical analysis also indicates that the dollar is in a clear downward trend. Option pricing on Thursday showed that traders expect the dollar to decline slightly over the next three to six months. The dollar index broke below the 100-day moving average in early March this year and has been under pressure since then. This month, two attempts to break above the moving average have failed.

Against the backdrop of uncertain trade prospects between the US and Canada and market expectations of a rate cut by the Central Bank of Canada, the Canadian dollar has fallen to a three-month low against the US dollar. The Canadian dollar is expected to remain under pressure in the short term due to ongoing risks related to the trade protocol. The latest inflation data came in below expectations, increasing the likelihood of a rate cut.

Jin10 data reported on August 20th that TD Securities strategists stated that the latest interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand was within market expectations, but what surprised the market was the implication that further cuts are expected in the future. Prashant Newnaha wrote: "We will not ignore this signal." He pointed out that two committee members voted for a 50 basis point cut, and this dovish shift occurred while the acting governor still judged the likelihood of inflation exceeding 3% this year to be 50/50. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's confidence in the existence of idle capacity in the New Zealand economy may have been strengthened by labor market data significantly below May expectations. Even in the face of rising inflation risks, the Reserve Bank appears determined to move towards further interest rate cuts. As a result, TD Securities has adjusted its forecast, now expecting the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to cut rates by 25 basis points in both October and November, with a terminal interest rate reaching 2.50%.

Golden Finance reports that the forex strategist at TD Securities noted that the possibility of the U.S. falling into stagflation has become the latest risk facing the strength of the dollar, and against the backdrop of political interference in federal agencies, the dollar is gradually finding itself in the "emerging market currency situation." "Although the market seems to have overlooked inflation and shifted its focus to the slowdown in economic growth, this could be a mistake," wrote Jayati Bharadwaj, Linda Cheng, and Alex Loo from TD Securities in a report on Monday. "The last U.S. CPI report showed the first signs of tariffs being passed on to consumers, and despite some downside surprises, the market still interpreted it in a hawkish manner."

On August 7, Jin10 reported that a strategist at TD Securities stated in a report that due to doubts about some tariff threats from the United States, the market is no longer focused on tariff announcements. The U.S. has announced a 50% tariff on India, a 39% tariff on Switzerland, a 35% tariff on certain imports from Canada, and tariffs on other trading partners. The market's focus is on the impact of tariffs on economic data and the Fed's expected interest rate cuts. Overall, the market is orderly, partly because they are skeptical about some of Trump's more extreme threats.

Jin10 data, July 28 – The Fed will hold a monetary policy meeting this week. Molly Brooks, a U.S. interest rate strategist at TD Securities, expects that Governors Bowman and Waller will have differing opinions. This could trigger a moderate bullish reaction in the interest rate market. Given their recent comments, the market will not be too surprised by this, but dissenting votes still signify a well-considered action.

On July 18, Jin10 reported that a strategist from TD Securities stated in a research report that the yen is likely to remain under pressure in the short term. The strategist noted that multiple surveys indicate that the ruling coalition in Japan may not win more than 50 seats in the Senate election on Sunday to maintain its majority advantage. The forex Options market shows that as the market takes into account the risks of the election and fiscal deterioration, the tendency to short the yen is increasing. "If Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba decides to resign due to an election defeat, USD/JPY could easily break above 149.70, as this will usher in a period of initial political turmoil."

Jin10 data, July 14 - TD Securities analyst Kumra stated that the UK may fill its fiscal gap by increasing tax rates and cutting government spending. She pointed out that the UK's public finances remain fragile due to global tariffs. Additionally, the Labour Party's decision to cancel cuts to welfare spending has added pressure to the already tight fiscal situation in the country. Kumra noted that the autumn budget may require an additional £10 billion to £20 billion in fiscal space. The specific figures are currently difficult to determine as they will also depend on the monthly tax revenue and expenditure during the lead-up to the autumn budget.

According to Gate News bot, TheBlock reported that investment firm TD Cowen stated that the equity Bitcoin loop mechanism of Strategy provides a reasonable basis for its net asset value premium. Despite the risks, TD Cowen maintains a buy rating on Strategy. Strategy purchased 69,140 Bitcoins in the second quarter, bringing the total holdings to 597,325.

TD Cowen stated that despite the risks, it is reasonable for the stock price of Strategy to trade at a premium to its Bitcoin net asset value, as its equity-BTC loop model promotes the rise of stock prices and Bitcoin purchases, reiterating a "buy" rating and setting a target price of $1625.

Jin10 data June 27th news, after the ceasefire protocol between Israel and Iran led to a big dump in oil prices at the beginning of this week, oil futures rose for the third consecutive trading day, but still face a weekly fall. Jay Truesdale, CEO of risk consulting firm TD Securities, said that the risk premium pushing oil prices to several months' highs is largely based on the idea of supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. However, the likelihood of this happening is very low, as keeping the Strait of Hormuz open is in the interests of the United States, Iran itself, and other participants in the region. He said: "Most traders have now returned to a supply-demand based fundamentals, especially considering that there is enough oil globally. Prices may return to levels seen before the Israeli attacks, around $60."

On June 19, TD Securities strategists said in a report that the Bank of England's policy decision on Thursday will not change the rules of the game for the pound. "Aside from a slightly dovish vote, there isn't much to consider for the pound." The Bank of England voted 6-3 to keep interest rates unchanged, with three officials leaning towards a 25 basis point cut. The market expects a 7-2 vote to keep rates unchanged. However, the strategists said central banks play a "secondary role" in geopolitical and macroeconomic developments, especially given concerns that the US is preparing to strike Iran. "This means that the dollar determines the rise and fall of various assets like a tidal wave, so the pound does not have much to be excited about here at the Bank of England."

According to Golden Finance, the corporate Bitcoin finance company Strategy (stock code MSTR) recently purchased approximately 10,000 Bitcoins for $1 billion, bringing its total holdings close to the 600,000 BTC mark. The company's recent purchase funds mainly came from its $1 billion Stride perpetual preferred stock (STRD) IPO. TD Cowen analysts stated that this process "establishes channels for future high-yield capital inflows into Bitcoin." Additionally, the market sales of STRK and STRF also provided the company with additional funds. After the latest purchase last week, Strategy currently holds a total of 592,100 BTC. TD Cowen analysts wrote in a report on Tuesday: "Therefore, we expect [STRD]

Gate News bot reported that on-chain analyst Ali posted on X indicating that the TD Sequential indicator has flashed a sell signal on the BTC hourly chart, and a brief pullback is expected.

Jin10 Data, June 12: TD Securities: As a hedging measure against the escalation of tensions in the Middle East, gold is a low-risk safe-haven asset amid potential regional turmoil. The one-month gold price target is set at $3650 per ounce.

Jin10 data reported on June 2nd, according to data from the Melbourne Institute, Australia's inflation expectations saw the largest decline in 33 months in May. The TD-MI inflation index in Australia fell by 0.4% month-on-month in May, marking the largest drop in 33 months. The annual growth rate decreased from 3.3% in April to 2.6% in May. Core inflation expectations have dropped to a five-year low. This data will attract the attention of the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the market currently shows a 70% chance of the bank further lowering interest rates in early July. Market pricing indicates that the Reserve Bank of Australia may cut rates by another 85 basis points by mid-2026.

TD Securities strategists expect the euro to pullback against the US dollar in the short term. The interest rate differential is developing in favor of the dollar, economic data is favorable for the dollar, and there are no signs of asset allocation outflows. The euro is expected to fall to 1.11 against the US dollar.

Jin10 Data May 23 - TD Securities said that foreign investors increased their holdings of U.S. Treasuries in the first quarter of 2025, but they preferred short-term bonds. This may be due to anticipated trade uncertainties, concerns about term premiums, a steeper yield curve, and official investors wanting to retain more liquidity assets for potential exchange rate intervention purposes. Both official and private foreign investors have increased their holdings of U.S. Treasuries, with official investors accelerating their bond purchases.

Jin10 data reported on May 20 that TD Securities expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in today's policy meeting, lowering the cash rate to 3.85%. TD Securities pointed out that recent inflation and labor market data are broadly in line with the Reserve Bank of Australia's forecasts from February, providing ample reason for a shift to a more accommodative stance. While attention will be focused on the interest rate decision, TD Securities stated that comments from the Reserve Bank of Australia regarding global tariff risks will be key. "We believe the GDP forecast may be slightly downgraded, but we are skeptical about whether there will be significant changes to the CPI forecast."

TD Securities analysts expect the Bank of England to possibly increase the pace of interest rate cuts, leading to a weaker pound. The Bank of England may cut rates by 25 basis points, with some policymakers even supporting a 50 basis point cut. Amid increasing trade uncertainties, the Central Bank may lower its economic growth expectations and hint at further rate cuts. Members believe that subdued inflation will drive the Central Bank to continue cutting rates.

According to a report by Jinse Finance, analyst @alicharts has monitored that Bitcoin may soon experience a pullback, with a sell signal appearing on the TD Sequential in the 3-day chart. Note: TD Sequential (also known as DeMark Sequential or TD Sequence) is a technical analysis indicator developed by Tom DeMark, primarily used to identify potential turning points in market trends. It is used by many professional traders.

On April 29, gold prices reversed their downward trend and rose, influenced by buy low orders, with spot gold in the US market increasing by nearly 1% to $3349 per ounce. TD Securities strategists believe that the selling momentum is weakening, limiting the downside risk for gold. Insufficient holdings from Western investors have restricted selling activities and supported the rise in gold prices.

Jin10 data reported on April 22, analyst Molly Brooks from TD Securities stated that it is unlikely for Trump to fire Powell, as this would lead to a lengthy legal battle. With Powell's term ending in May 2026, trying to oust him now may not be worth it; Brooks considers this a risk-reward factor. However, it must be acknowledged that Trump's interference with The Federal Reserve (FED) is another concern for Wall Street, and the market is very tense.

According to a research report by TD Cowen, despite Strategy being the main corporate holder of Bitcoin, its large-scale purchases of Crypto Assets have little impact on prices, with its Bitcoin purchases typically accounting for only 3.3% of the weekly volume. Over the past 27 weeks, the company's total volume has accounted for 8.4% of the trading volume, but there were eight weeks during which it did not purchase any Bitcoin.

TD Cowen's research shows that despite the increasing influence of Bitcoin's main corporate holder Strategy, its large-scale purchases of Crypto Assets have almost no impact on price, accounting for only 3.3% of weekly volume. Over the past 27 weeks, its total volume accounted for 8.4%, but in individual weeks, purchase volumes surged over 20%. There were 8 weeks during which Strategy did not purchase Bitcoin.

The TD Sequential indicator on Bitcoin's weekly chart signals a buy signal that if the price continues above $86,000, it could rush into the $90,000 to $95,000 range. TD Sequential is a technical tool of Thomas DeMark that is used to identify market trend turning points and help determine the timing of trades, especially in top-down signal identification.

According to the Gate.io News bot, Cointelegraph reported that the Solana staking ETF (SOLQ) by Canadian asset management company 3iQ has confirmed Figment as the staking service provider. The ETF was approved by the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) on April 14 and is set to be listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange on April 16. 3iQ stated that the annualized return of the fund is 6%-8%, and it will conduct staking of SOL tokens through TD Bank in Canada.

PANews, April 14 - According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, Canadian regulators have approved several issuers (including Purpose, Evolve, CI, and 3iQ) to launch a Spot Solana ETF, which is expected to go live this week (April 16) and will offer staking features through TD. This product will be one of the first Solana ETFs in the world to support Spot + staking.

The chief commodity analyst at Sweden's Nordea Bank and the global strategist at TD Securities pointed out that Trump's new tariff policy could have negative effects on trade, economic growth, and oil demand, potentially leading to Inflation, slowing economic growth, and exacerbating trade disputes, impacting crude oil prices. Trump's tariff policy is considered more aggressive, direct, and broad, and may last for a longer duration.

On March 20, Jinshi Data reported that gold prices remained basically stable on Wednesday, having earlier touched record highs, as investors awaited the interest rate decision to be announced by the Federal Reserve later today, with safe-haven demand continuing. Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, stated: "There are concerns that tariffs could trigger inflation, and the market widely believes that although U.S. tariffs have led to rising prices, the Federal Reserve may start to ease policy around mid-year." Melek said, "I expect gold prices to roughly maintain their current levels, fluctuating around $25."

TD Bank predicts that Canada will experience 'mild' recession from the second quarter, as the Trump administration plans to impose hefty tariffs on Canadian goods. It is expected that the GDP will decline by 1% on an annualized basis in the second quarter, and will slightly decrease in the third quarter. The Canadian government will mitigate the economic losses caused by weak consumption and business investment through fiscal support, such as providing low-cost financing.

TD Securities pointed out that the Bank of England will not be a key factor in the strengthening of the pound, and the market has already priced in the interest rate decision; The pound was more driven by the macro economy, with German fiscal spending pushing down the pound against the euro and US recession fears boosting the pound against the dollar; Short selling of the dollar may be excessive, and German fiscal spending is a long-term investment.

According to The Block, TD Cowen expressed caution about Trump's encryption reserve strategy, believing it lacks coordination and does not specify the source of funding. Trump did not discuss how the government would obtain funding to purchase Token, which has raised questions. The White House Cryptocurrency summit is about to be held, which will discuss stablecoins and legislative structure for the crypto market. TD Cowen emphasized that the summit will reveal the Trump team's advancement plan.

TD Cowen Investment Bank has expressed doubts about Trump's establishment of an encryption strategic reserve, believing that the announcement lacks coordination and the source of funding is unclear, warning not to overreact. The report pointed out that the initial version did not include Bitcoin and Ether, indicating a lack of coordination and funding plan.

Odaily Planet Daily News According to on-chain analyst Ali's monitoring, the TD Sequential indicator shows a buy signal on the DOGE daily chart, indicating a potential Rebound in price.

An analysis report suggests that Microsoft's data center capacity leasing may slow down, raising concerns about the frenzy in the artificial intelligence stock market. TD Cowen analysts stated that Microsoft has canceled a large number of data center leases, which may lead to oversupply. Microsoft plans to invest $80 billion in artificial intelligence and cloud computing, but has canceled leases for hundreds of megawatts. Microsoft stated that the investment plan is still ongoing, with little impact on stock prices, but related company stock prices have fallen.

Golden Finance reported that Microsoft has reiterated its plan to invest $80 billion in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), but may "adjust our infrastructure investments in certain areas." TD Cowen previously pointed out in a report that Microsoft has canceled its data center leasing plan.

Odaily Planet Daily News on-chain analyst Ali stated that OM has surged 530% since October and now the TD Sequential indicator shows a sell signal on the 3-day chart, indicating that OM may experience a pullback.

Odaily Planet Daily News on-chain analyst Ali said in a post that XRP may experience a brief pullback, after a 22% pump in the last few days, the TD Sequential indicator shows a sell signal on the 4-hour chart of XRP.

Jinse Finance reported that the encryption analyst Ali stated in a post on the X platform that the TD Sequential indicator showed a buy signal on the 4-hour chart of BTC.

On January 29th, Jinshi data, Dohming Securities stated that despite the tax cuts leading to a decrease in Canada's overall inflation rate, core inflationary pressures have risen in the past three months, indicating that inflation data in the coming months may slightly rise. This will give the Canadian Central Bank reason to take a more gradual approach to interest rate cuts this year. We expect that in 2025, Canada's interest rate meetings will only reduce interest rates by 25 basis points each time.

Odaily Planet Daily News encryption analyst Ali stated in a post on the X platform that the TD Sequential indicator is on DOGE

Odaily Planet Daily European Central Bank will announce its Interest Rate decision on Thursday, and the market expects the bank to cut interest rates. According to analysts at TD Securities, this meeting should result in a direct 25 basis points cut as the data is broadly in line with or weaker than the European Central Bank's forecast for December.