TRUMP Coin Price Prediction: Is the Political Meme Sector Rotation Coming Soon? Target $10

On November 7, 2025, the political-themed meme coin Official Trump (TRUMP) stabilized around $7.80, forming a consolidation platform within the $7.50-$8.20 range. Market analysis indicates that as U.S. policy events approach and political discussions heat up, capital is flowing back into the meme-political sector, with trading volume showing signs of recovery. Technically, a gradually rising low point pattern is emerging; if the price breaks through the $8.50 resistance, there could be room for an upward move toward $9.20-$10.00. However, weak market liquidity makes the token susceptible to sudden sentiment shifts, with the $7.40-$7.50 support zone becoming a key battleground for bulls and bears.

Market Environment and Capital Rotation

Political-themed cryptocurrencies are entering a new attention cycle. As the 2026 U.S. midterm elections heat up, predictive market activity related to policy directions has surged. Data from Polymarket shows that trading volume for the “Trump running for office” contract increased by 300% in the first week of November, reflecting heightened political interest spilling over into related meme assets. Additionally, Google Finance’s recent integration of predictive market data further legitimizes the speculative and hedging functions of these assets.

Sector rotation is evident. Over the past two weeks, mainstream meme coins like DOGE and PEPE saw stagnant capital flows, while political tokens such as TRUMP and BODEN experienced continuous net inflows. This divergence highlights market sensitivity to narratives—when macro uncertainty rises, political-themed assets tend to garner extra attention. According to Amberdata, the total market cap of political meme coins has rebounded to $4.5 billion, a 25% increase from October lows.

Liquidity remains a double-edged sword. TRUMP’s average daily trading volume is around $12 million, which is low relative to its $780 million market cap. This structure makes the price prone to jumps during major news events. Market maker Wintermute noted in a report: “The liquidity depth of political meme coins is only about 30% of traditional meme coins, making them more suitable for event-driven strategies rather than long-term holding.”

Technical Analysis and Key Levels

TRUMP’s chart shows a converging pattern. The price has been oscillating within the $7.50-$8.20 range for seven trading days, with three tests of the lower support level being met with buying interest, forming a gradually rising low point pattern. This structure often signals a potential breakout, especially as volatility drops to its lowest level of the year.

The critical resistance level is at $8.50, which is not only the upper boundary of the range but also aligns with the 50-day moving average. A successful break above this level would confirm a bullish setup, targeting $9.20 (previous high resistance) and $10.00 (psychological level). Options market data shows heavy open interest at strike prices between $8.50 and $9.00, which could accelerate a breakout.

On the downside, the support zone at $7.40-$7.50 is crucial. If this level is broken, it could trigger stop-loss sell-offs, pushing the price down toward $6.80 (October low). On-chain analysis indicates large buy orders near $7.45, forming “whale walls” that may provide short-term buffers.

Political Cycle and Catalysts

U.S. political events provide a clear timeline. Mid-November’s Senate vote on cryptocurrency regulation, the December Federal Reserve policy meeting, and the January 2026 presidential primaries could all serve as catalysts. Historical data shows that during the 2024 U.S. election cycle, TRUMP’s price fluctuated by an average of 15% on key debate days.

Media coverage amplifies price effects. Mainstream outlets like Fox News and CNN have recently increased reporting on political donations via cryptocurrencies, attracting new investors. Sentiment analysis from Santiment shows a 180% week-over-week increase in social media mentions of “Trump coin,” often correlating positively with price movements.

Regulatory developments also influence valuation. The SEC’s stance on political tokens remains unclear; if classified as “political contribution tools,” they could face strict fundraising restrictions. Conversely, passage of a “Cryptocurrency Political Advertising Act” exemption could open new use cases.

Investment Strategies and Position Management

Given the current risk-reward profile, active traders might adopt event-driven strategies. Positions can be established 24-48 hours before key political events, with profits taken after the event to capitalize on volatility. Specific parameters: accumulate in the $7.60-$7.80 range, add on a break above $8.50, and set stop-loss at $7.40.

Options tools offer precise risk exposure. Buying bull call spreads between $8.00 and $8.50 can limit downside while maintaining upside potential. This structure is suitable in high-volatility environments, with implied volatility at 85%, costing about 8% of the position value.

Long-term investors should recognize the unique nature of political meme coins. They are narrative assets whose value depends heavily on community engagement and media attention rather than traditional fundamentals. It’s advisable to keep such allocations within 5% of speculative holdings and employ flexible stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms.

Conclusion

Official Trump coin’s current consolidation reflects both technical factors and anticipation of political catalysts. The $7.50-$8.20 range will eventually be broken, with direction depending on how political narratives develop and market risk appetite aligns. Although weak liquidity amplifies risks, it also creates opportunities for event-driven strategies to generate outsized returns. As the intersection of crypto and politics deepens, assets like TRUMP may continue to serve as market sentiment gauges, exhibiting distinctive volatility around key political cycles.