Ethereum Price Prediction: Improved Sino-US Trade Relations, ETH May Hit the $5,000 Mark

Boosted by optimistic sentiment from the easing of China-U.S. trade tensions, Ethereum surged 8% in a single day, breaking through $4,250 (currently temporarily retreating above $4,100). The rebound in the MVRV average indicates that the market is accumulating, rather than dumping, and the historical upward trend points to $5,000. If ETH breaks through the resistance level of $4,400, the bull flag pattern suggests it may break through $5,300-$5,400.

ETH takes advantage of the optimistic sentiment in Sino-U.S. trade surge, indicating the next target is 5000 USD

In a critical period dominated by the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting and tech giants' earnings reports this week, market risk appetite has increased, and Ethereum (ETH) has surged strongly on optimistic sentiment regarding breakthroughs in China-U.S. trade negotiations. As the second largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum (ETH) soared 8% on Monday, breaking through $4,250, further solidifying its recovery momentum since the low of $3,435 on October 10. Currently, bullish technical analysis and on-chain data signals are converging, pointing to a clear conclusion: ETH is expected to move towards $5,000 by the end of November. This article will delve into the catalysts driving ETH price increases, providing cryptocurrency investors with Ethereum price predictions and trading strategy references.

MVRV Indicator Confirms Accumulation Phase: ETH Pump Potential Targets (

The price trend of Ethereum is making a strong rebound from its MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value ratio) mean. Historically, this mean has often acted as a mid-term support level during rising cycles.

![Ethereum MVRV Indicator])https://img-cdn.gateio.im/webp-social/moments-87a9b3933a-76ec2e56ce-153d09-69ad2a.webp$5K

(Source: Glassnode)

The rebound of the MVRV average clearly signals that market participants are accumulating rather than distributing, which lays the foundation for ETH price to challenge the +1σ deviation upwards. From the perspective of the cryptocurrency market cycle, historically, ETH bull rallies often accelerate after reclaiming the +1σ line. According to statistical models, the next overbought area (+2σ deviation band) is highly aligned with the price range of $5,000 to $5,200.

The model structure further supports this optimistic outlook: the realized price continues to rise, indicating new capital inflows; at the same time, the lower deviation band is bending upwards. These are clear signs that the bull market phase is strengthening rather than exhausting. Therefore, the MVRV model analysis provides solid fundamental support for long-term investors in Ethereum.

ETH Flag Formation: Breakthrough target at $4,400 aimed directly at $5,400

Ethereum's recent consolidation trend exhibits a classic bull flag pattern. This continuation pattern typically appears after a strong pump, formed by two downward-sloping parallel trend lines, representing a brief period of profit-taking, often followed by a new surge of strong buying pressure.

• Key support confirmation: ETH has rebounded from the lower boundary of the flag around $3,900 and has successfully maintained above the 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA) at $4,140 and the 50-day simple moving average (50-day SMA) at $3,700. This is considered a bullish signal indicating trend stability.
• Breakthrough target calculation: Once the ETH price decisively breaks above the trendline near the $4,400 level, it will confirm the validity of this pattern. According to technical analysis rules, the price target of a flag pattern is usually equal to the height of the flagpole. This calculation points to a potential high of $5,300 to $5,400, perfectly aligning with the +2σ overbought region of the MVRV model.

In addition, the momentum indicators reinforce this view: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded from the neutral zone. Overall, all indicators suggest that Ethereum is likely preparing for the next wave of rise toward $5,000 or even higher. This is a significant positive for users focusing on altcoin investments and the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem.

Conclusion: Multiple positive signals converge, Ethereum enters a critical breakthrough period

The market performance of Ethereum (ETH) is showing strong upward momentum supported by positive macro sentiment and robust technical indicators. Whether it's the accumulation phase indicated by the on-chain MVRV model or the breakout potential implied by the bullish flag pattern, all signals suggest that ETH is about to enter a critical price discovery phase. Investors should closely monitor the bullish trend line at $4,400 and the psychological level at $5,000, as a breakout could very likely lead ETH to set a new historical high in November.

Do you think ETH can successfully break through the $5,000 milestone this month and further challenge the target price of $5,400?